Model 5 - ProFunds: Variable (Midland Vector® Annuity) - Core-Plus™
SERIES I: Low Risk - Back-Testing
Results
Investment Objective: Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk
and volatility.
(Long: Non-Leveraged / Short: 50% Non-Leveraged Inverse & 50% Money
Market)
| RETURN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 1999 |
+ 6.65 |
+ 8.04 |
+ 9.41 |
+ 19.53 |
+ 85.59 |
0 |
| 2000 |
+ 8.59 |
+ 8.77 |
+ 8.92 |
- 10.14 |
- 39.29 |
3 |
| 2001 |
+ 12.18 |
+ 15.24 |
+ 18.32 |
- 13.24 |
- 21.35 |
5 |
| 2002 |
+ 7.48 |
+ 8.01 |
+ 8.51 |
- 23.37 |
- 31.53 |
4 |
| 2003 |
+ 11.45 |
+ 15.03 |
+ 18.70 |
+ 26.38 |
+ 50.01 |
4 |
| 2004 |
+ 4.55 |
+ 4.74 |
+ 4.93 |
+ 8.99 |
+ 8.59 |
2 |
| 2005 |
+ 4.48 |
+ 5.11 |
+ 5.74 |
+ 3.00 |
+ 1.37 |
4 |
| 2006 |
+ 8.20 |
+ 10.29 |
+ 12.41 |
+ 13.62 |
+ 9.52 |
3 |
| 2007 |
+ 11.23 |
+ 13.26 |
+ 15.32 |
+ 3.53 |
+ 9.81 |
5 |
| 2-15-08 |
+ 2.48 |
+ 2.97 |
+ 3.47 |
- 8.06 |
- 12.46 |
2 |
| 9.15-Years* |
+ 8.47 |
+ 10.01 |
+ 11.54 |
+ 1.03 |
+ 0.63 |
Avg 3.5 |
STANDARD DEVIATION |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 1999 |
1.23 |
1.73 |
2.25 |
5.22 |
7.87 |
0 |
| 2000 |
1.16 |
1.59 |
2.04 |
6.42 |
14.09 |
3 |
| 2001 |
1.42 |
2.02 |
2.64 |
6.22 |
12.57 |
5 |
| 2002 |
1.13 |
1.61 |
2.11 |
7.51 |
9.95 |
4 |
| 2003 |
1.04 |
1.47 |
1.94 |
4.93 |
6.43 |
4 |
| 2004 |
0.88 |
1.13 |
1.42 |
3.20 |
4.89 |
2 |
| 2005 |
0.81 |
1.08 |
1.37 |
2.97 |
3.61 |
4 |
| 2006 |
0.88 |
1.14 |
1.44 |
2.90 |
4.10 |
3 |
| 2007 |
0.95 |
1.27 |
1.61 |
4.61 |
5.03 |
5 |
| 2-15-08 |
0.82 |
0.97 |
1.16 |
6.64 |
7.16 |
2 |
| 9.15-Years* |
1.07 |
1.47 |
1.90 |
5.15 |
8.40 |
Avg 3.5 |
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 1999 |
-2.31 |
-3.58 |
-4.99 |
-12.08 |
-13.07 |
0 |
| 2000 |
-1.62 |
-2.49 |
-3.49 |
-17.20 |
-53.79 |
3 |
| 2001 |
-2.69 |
-4.19 |
-5.67 |
-29.70 |
-50.22 |
5 |
| 2002 |
-2.01 |
-2.58 |
-3.16 |
-33.75 |
-45.90 |
4 |
| 2003 |
-2.39 |
-2.40 |
-3.00 |
-14.05 |
-12.97 |
4 |
| 2004 |
-2.65 |
-3.26 |
-3.92 |
-8.16 |
-18.63 |
2 |
| 2005 |
-2.03 |
-2.64 |
-3.28 |
-7.17 |
-12.47 |
4 |
| 2006 |
-1.03 |
-1.33 |
-1.73 |
-7.70 |
-14.78 |
3 |
| 2007 |
-1.22 |
-1.71 |
-2.49 |
-10.09 |
-11.13 |
5 |
| 2-15-08 |
-0.27 |
-0.32 |
-0.41 |
-10.75 |
-14.08 |
2 |
| 9.15-Years* |
-2.69 |
-4.19 |
-5.67 |
-49.15 |
-77.93 |
Avg 3.5 |
ULCER INDEX |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 1999 |
0.86 |
1.34 |
1.84 |
4.43 |
4.77 |
0 |
| 2000 |
0.52 |
0.84 |
1.19 |
6.84 |
26.74 |
3 |
| 2001 |
0.96 |
1.68 |
2.42 |
14.49 |
30.60 |
5 |
| 2002 |
0.67 |
0.99 |
1.34 |
18.05 |
28.01 |
4 |
| 2003 |
0.67 |
0.74 |
0.94 |
4.61 |
4.63 |
4 |
| 2004 |
1.23 |
1.59 |
1.99 |
3.35 |
8.96 |
2 |
| 2005 |
0.68 |
0.91 |
1.14 |
2.78 |
5.46 |
4 |
| 2006 |
0.37 |
0.47 |
0.59 |
2.68 |
6.29 |
3 |
| 2007 |
0.32 |
0.47 |
0.65 |
3.77 |
4.20 |
5 |
| 2-15-08 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.20 |
7.19 |
10.45 |
2 |
| 9.15-Years* |
0.75 |
1.08 |
1.46 |
22.49 |
54.03 |
Avg 3.5 |
*Annualized Return
CP = Capital Preservation
BC = Balanced Conservative
BG = Balanced Growth
Low Risk = Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk and volatility.
Medium Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting average market risk and volatility.
High Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting greater than market risk and volatility.
CONSERV = Conservative
GROWTH = Growth
AGGR = Aggressive
S&P 500 = S&P 500 Index
NASDAQ = NASDAQ Composite Index
TRADES = Number of times the Active portion of the portfolio changed from Long, Short or Cash.
¹ Standard Deviation (SD):
Within Core-Plus™, Standard Deviation is measured monthly.
For example, when you see SD = 4.0%, this means that most of the time (8
out of 12 months) the portfolio has gains or losses of no more than 4.0%
in a month. This monthly SD can be converted (approximately) to Morningstar’s
annual SD by multiplying the SD= value by 3.4 (the square root of 12).
² Maximum Drawdown (MD):
The maximum percentage loss from the highest point to the lowest point during
the given period of time.
³ Ulcer Index (UI):
Ulcer Index measures the ability of a portfolio to regain its value from
a previous high. It is calculated as the root-mean-square of the areas between
highs and the time it takes for the portfolio to reach those highs again.
It provides a measure of the magnitude of all of a portfolio’s losses.
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