Model 4 - Rydex: Variable (Nationwide MarketFlex) - Core-Plus™
SERIES I: Low Risk - Back-Testing
Results
Investment Objective: Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk
and volatility.
(Long: Non-Leveraged / Short: 50% Non-Leveraged Inverse & 50% Money
Market)
| RETURN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2002 |
+2.50 |
+6.95 |
+11.46 |
-23.37 |
-31.53 |
4 |
| 2003 |
+18.11 |
+25.84 |
+33.91 |
+26.38 |
+50.01 |
4 |
| 2004 |
+5.51 |
+5.01 |
+4.51 |
+8.99 |
+8.59 |
2 |
| 2005 |
+4.63 |
+5.37 |
+6.10 |
+3.00 |
+1.37 |
4 |
| 4-Year* |
+7.52 |
+10.47 |
+13.42 |
+2.11 |
+3.12 |
Avg 3.5 |
| STANDARD DEVIATION |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2002 |
1.72 |
2.80 |
4.16 |
7.51 |
9.95 |
4 |
| 2003 |
2.02 |
3.12 |
4.27 |
4.93 |
6.43 |
4 |
| 2004 |
1.24 |
1.73 |
2.33 |
3.20 |
4.89 |
2 |
| 2005 |
1.24 |
1.68 |
2.17 |
2.97 |
3.61 |
4 |
| 4-Year* |
1.59 |
2.42 |
3.38 |
5.00 |
6.66 |
Avg 3.5 |
| MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2002 |
-4.26 |
-5.80 |
-8.30 |
-33.75 |
-45.90 |
4 |
| 2003 |
-2.91 |
-3.94 |
-5.36 |
-14.05 |
-12.97 |
4 |
| 2004 |
-3.49 |
-5.05 |
-7.33 |
-8.16 |
-18.63 |
2 |
| 2005 |
-2.98 |
-4.02 |
-5.23 |
-7.17 |
-12.47 |
4 |
| 4-Year* |
-4.26 |
-5.80 |
-8.30 |
-33.75 |
-45.90 |
Avg 3.5 |
| ULCER INDEX |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2002 |
1.76 |
1.68 |
2.53 |
18.05 |
28.01 |
4 |
| 2003 |
1.12 |
1.38 |
1.79 |
4.61 |
4.63 |
4 |
| 2004 |
1.74 |
3.07 |
4.48 |
3.35 |
8.96 |
2 |
| 2005 |
1.08 |
1.38 |
1.76 |
2.78 |
5.46 |
4 |
| 4-Year* |
1.47 |
2.05 |
2.92 |
13.33 |
18.87 |
Avg 3.5 |
*Annualized Return
CP = Capital Preservation
BC = Balanced Conservative
BG = Balanced Growth
Low Risk = Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk and volatility.
Medium Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting average market risk and volatility.
High Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting greater than market risk and volatility.
CONSERV = Conservative
GROWTH = Growth
AGGR = Aggressive
S&P 500 = S&P 500 Index
NASDAQ = NASDAQ Composite Index
TRADES = Number of times the Active portion of the portfolio changed from Long, Short or Cash.
¹ Standard Deviation (SD):
Within Core-Plus™, Standard Deviation is measured monthly.
For example, when you see SD = 4.0%, this means that most of the time (8
out of 12 months) the portfolio has gains or losses of no more than 4.0%
in a month. This monthly SD can be converted (approximately) to Morningstar’s
annual SD by multiplying the SD= value by 3.4 (the square root of 12).
² Maximum Drawdown (MD):
The maximum percentage loss from the highest point to the lowest point during
the given period of time.
³ Ulcer Index (UI):
Ulcer Index measures the ability of a portfolio to regain its value from
a previous high. It is calculated as the root-mean-square of the areas between
highs and the time it takes for the portfolio to reach those highs again.
It provides a measure of the magnitude of all of a portfolio’s losses.
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