Model 3 - Rydex: Non-Variable (Mutual Funds) - Core-Plus™
SERIES I: Low Risk - Back-Testing
Results
Investment Objective: Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk
and volatility.
(Long: Non-Leveraged / Short: 50% Non-Leveraged Inverse & 50% Money
Market)
| RETURN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2001 |
+20.40 |
+32.75 |
+45.94 |
-13.24 |
-21.35 |
5 |
| 2002 |
+7.27 |
+10.60 |
+13.94 |
-23.37 |
-31.53 |
4 |
| 2003 |
+24.79 |
+31.10 |
+37.59 |
+26.38 |
+50.01 |
4 |
| 2004 |
+11.58 |
+9.54 |
+7.50 |
+8.99 |
+8.59 |
2 |
| 2005 |
+9.89 |
+9.32 |
+8.74 |
+3.00 |
+1.37 |
4 |
| 5-Year* |
+14.58 |
+18.13 |
+21.68 |
-1.12 |
-2.25 |
Avg 4 |
| STANDARD DEVIATION |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2001 |
2.41 |
4.58 |
6.73 |
6.22 |
12.57 |
5 |
| 2002 |
1.69 |
2.87 |
4.23 |
7.51 |
9.95 |
4 |
| 2003 |
2.23 |
3.26 |
4.35 |
4.93 |
6.43 |
4 |
| 2004 |
1.34 |
1.76 |
2.33 |
3.20 |
4.89 |
2 |
| 2005 |
1.25 |
1.67 |
2.16 |
2.97 |
3.61 |
4 |
| 5-Year* |
1.84 |
3.02 |
4.29 |
5.26 |
8.17 |
Avg 4 |
| MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2001 |
-3.99 |
-8.33 |
-12.28 |
-29.70 |
-50.22 |
5 |
| 2002 |
-3.29 |
-5.27 |
-7.99 |
-33.75 |
-45.90 |
4 |
| 2003 |
-3.37 |
-4.18 |
-5.35 |
-14.05 |
-12.97 |
4 |
| 2004 |
-4.57 |
-4.28 |
-6.81 |
-8.16 |
-18.63 |
2 |
| 2005 |
-2.74 |
-3.68 |
-4.79 |
-7.17 |
-12.47 |
4 |
| 5-Year* |
-4.57 |
-8.33 |
-12.28 |
-43.46 |
-61.03 |
Avg 4 |
| ULCER INDEX |
| YEAR |
CP |
BC |
BG |
S&P |
NAS |
# OF TRADES |
| 2001 |
1.45 |
3.49 |
5.52 |
14.49 |
30.60 |
5 |
| 2002 |
1.38 |
1.70 |
2.59 |
18.05 |
28.01 |
4 |
| 2003 |
1.06 |
1.38 |
1.82 |
4.61 |
4.63 |
4 |
| 2004 |
1.75 |
2.19 |
3.69 |
3.35 |
8.96 |
2 |
| 2005 |
0.80 |
1.14 |
1.54 |
2.78 |
5.46 |
4 |
| 5-Year* |
1.33 |
2.17 |
3.40 |
22.06 |
36.52 |
Avg 4 |
*Annualized Return
CP = Capital Preservation
BC = Balanced Conservative
BG = Balanced Growth
Low Risk = Moderate Capital Gains with below-market risk and volatility.
Medium Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting average market risk and volatility.
High Risk = Maximum Capital Gains, while accepting greater than market risk and volatility.
CONSERV = Conservative
GROWTH = Growth
AGGR = Aggressive
S&P 500 = S&P 500 Index
NASDAQ = NASDAQ Composite Index
TRADES = Number of times the Active portion of the portfolio changed from Long, Short or Cash.
¹ Standard Deviation (SD):
Within Core-Plus™, Standard Deviation is measured monthly.
For example, when you see SD = 4.0%, this means that most of the time (8
out of 12 months) the portfolio has gains or losses of no more than 4.0%
in a month. This monthly SD can be converted (approximately) to Morningstar’s
annual SD by multiplying the SD= value by 3.4 (the square root of 12).
² Maximum Drawdown (MD):
The maximum percentage loss from the highest point to the lowest point during
the given period of time.
³ Ulcer Index (UI):
Ulcer Index measures the ability of a portfolio to regain its value from
a previous high. It is calculated as the root-mean-square of the areas between
highs and the time it takes for the portfolio to reach those highs again.
It provides a measure of the magnitude of all of a portfolio’s losses.
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